Alex Morono vs Brian Ebersole
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record51-18-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoBrian Ebersole
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono70%
Brian Ebersole 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 70% favorite over Brian Ebersole in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1683), separated by just 3 points.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Brian Ebersole 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.