Alex Morono vs Carlos Leal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Fortis MMATeamThai Brasil
What's at stake
Carlos Leal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+11→ 1725
If they lose-13→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoCarlos Leal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Leal66%
Alex Morono 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 66% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Carlos Leal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1687, a 27-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Leal 62%.
Carlos Leal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.