Alex Morono vs Daniel Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record20-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight184 lbs
Fortis MMATeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-10→ 1677
If they win+10→ 1757
If they lose-14→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoDaniel Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez66%
Alex Morono 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 66% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1687, a 60-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Rodriguez 65%.
Alex Morono and Daniel Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Santiago Ponzinibbio.
Daniel Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.