Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1699
If they lose-11→ 1675
If they win+14→ 1738
If they lose-18→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoDaniil Donchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko52%
Alex Morono 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 52% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1686, a 38-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Daniil Donchenko 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.