Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0 Record 14-2-0
Welterweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 5'11"
72" Reach 71"
170 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Fortis MMA Team Tiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+15→ 1726
If they lose-17→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex Morono Daniil Donchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko83%
Alex Morono17%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 83% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1687, a 24-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Daniil Donchenko 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.