
Alex Morono vs David Zawada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 61% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1560, a 126-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.
Alex Morono and David Zawada share 1 common opponent: Carlos Leal.
David Zawada carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.