Alex Morono vs David Zawada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record19-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fortis MMATeamUFD Gym
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1696
If they lose-15→ 1672
If they win+15→ 1599
If they lose-9→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoDavid Zawada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono76%
David Zawada 24%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 76% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1584, a 103-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 89%.
Alex Morono and David Zawada share 1 common opponent: Carlos Leal.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.