Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morono vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Morono
us

Alex Morono

“The Great White”

24-13-0WelterweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

24-13-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fortis MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex MoronoNow 1686
If they win+8→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1670
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-8→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
40%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.97
24%
Takedown accuracy
17%
48%
Takedown defense
57%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Alex MoronoDavid Zawada
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (26%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
7 (30%)
Submission
5 (25%)
10 (43%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Morono61%
David Zawada 39%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 61% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1560, a 126-point edge.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Alex Morono and David Zawada share 1 common opponent: Carlos Leal.

David Zawada carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2025
Carlos Leal
LossTKO (Punches) · 2023