Alex Morono vs Donald Cerrone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record36-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamBMF Ranch
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoDonald Cerrone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono70%
Donald Cerrone 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 70% favorite over Donald Cerrone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donald Cerrone's way (47%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1687, a 23-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Donald Cerrone 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.