Alex Morono vs Joaquin Buckley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record21-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-10→ 1677
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoJoaquin Buckley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Buckley80%
Alex Morono 20%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 80% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1687, a 68-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.
Joaquin Buckley carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.