Alex Morono vs Khaos Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Morono carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-18→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoKhaos Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams67%
Alex Morono 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 67% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1687, a 33-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Khaos Williams 63%.
Alex Morono and Khaos Williams share 1 common opponent: Matthew Semelsberger.
Khaos Williams carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.