Alex Morono vs Kyle Noke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record22-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach76,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kyle Noke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1697
If they lose-14→ 1673
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-10→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoKyle Noke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono78%
Kyle Noke 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 78% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1640, a 47-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.
Kyle Noke carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.