Alex Morono vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoMax Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono56%
Max Griffin 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 56% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1669, a 18-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Alex Morono and Max Griffin share 1 common opponent: Tim Means.
Max Griffin carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.