Alex Morono vs Rhys McKee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record15-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNext Generation Northern Ireland
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rhys McKee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoRhys McKee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rhys McKee52%
Alex Morono 48%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Rhys McKee a 52% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Morono's way (44%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1648, a 39-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.
Rhys McKee carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.