Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morono vs Ty Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex Morono
us

Alex Morono

“The Great White”

24-13-0WelterweightUFC

1686Good
Ty Miller
us

Ty Miller

“Thriller”

8-0-0WelterweightUFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

24-13-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex MoronoNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Ty MillerNow 1682
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
7.16
40%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
48%
Takedown defense
75%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex MoronoTy Miller
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
7 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (43%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ty Miller64%
Alex Morono 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 64% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Morono's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1682), separated by just 4 points.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.

Ty Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.