Alex Morono vs Zak Ottow
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
Alex Morono is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zak Ottow carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1697
If they lose-13→ 1673
If they win+13→ 1673
If they lose-11→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoZak Ottow
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono62%
Zak Ottow 38%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 62% favorite over Zak Ottow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alex Morono holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1660, a 26-point edge.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.