Alex Nicholson vs Devin Clark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record14-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81,0"Reach75"
224 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Alex Nicholson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Devin Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1641
If they lose-13→ 1617
If they win+17→ 1626
If they lose-15→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex NicholsonDevin Clark
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Nicholson and Devin Clark within a point of even.
Alex Nicholson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1609, a 21-point edge.
Alex Nicholson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Nicholson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Devin Clark 36%.
Alex Nicholson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.