Alex Oliveira vs Ali Abouzalam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
76"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraAli Abouzalam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Abouzalam56%
Alex Oliveira 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abouzalam a 56% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ali Abouzalam 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.