Alex Oliveira vs James Moontasri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
James Moontasri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1584
If they lose-10→ 1560
If they win+14→ 1631
If they lose-18→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraJames Moontasri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Oliveira54%
James Moontasri 46%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Oliveira a 54% favorite over James Moontasri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Moontasri's way (43%).
James Moontasri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1570, a 47-point edge.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Moontasri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, James Moontasri 78%.
Alex Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.