Alex Oliveira vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-16-1Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamIndependent
What's at stake
Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alex Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1625
If they lose-9→ 1601
If they win+13→ 1699
If they lose-19→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry77%
Alex Oliveira 23%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 77% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1610, a 76-point edge.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Alex Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.