Alex Oliveira vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-8→ 1562
If they win+11→ 1697
If they lose-21→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry74%
Alex Oliveira 26%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 74% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1570, a 116-point edge.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Alex Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.