Alex Oliveira vs Piotr Hallmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
76"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Piotr Hallmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alex Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1585
If they lose-9→ 1561
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-20→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraPiotr Hallmann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Oliveira53%
Piotr Hallmann 47%Elo baseline: 38%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Oliveira a 53% favorite over Piotr Hallmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Piotr Hallmann's way (38%).
Piotr Hallmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1570, a 87-point edge.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.