Alex Oliveira vs Roman Mitichyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraRoman Mitichyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Oliveira75%
Roman Mitichyan 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Oliveira a 75% favorite over Roman Mitichyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roman Mitichyan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Roman Mitichyan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.