Alex Oliveira vs Sado Ucar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-16-1Record20-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
76"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamAlpha Jiu-Jitsu Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraSado Ucar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sado Ucar62%
Alex Oliveira 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sado Ucar a 62% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sado Ucar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sado Ucar 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.