Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Oliveira vs Vernon Ramos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-16-1Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
76"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamAdvance Performance Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Vernon RamosNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
4
51%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8
47%
Strike defense
56%
2.35
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.57
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex OliveiraVernon Ramos
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (20%)
Submission
3 (38%)
5 (20%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Vernon Ramos66%
Alex Oliveira 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vernon Ramos a 66% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Oliveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vernon Ramos 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.