Alex Oliveira vs Will Brooks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-19-1Record26-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
76"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Will Brooks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alex Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1588
If they lose-6→ 1564
If they win+6→ 1772
If they lose-18→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex OliveiraWill Brooks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Brooks70%
Alex Oliveira 30%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Brooks a 70% favorite over Alex Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Will Brooks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1570, a 196-point edge.
Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.
Alex Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.