Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Alexandr Romanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Pereira
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Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1786Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record22-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamLion Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PereiraNow 1786
If they win+15→ 1801
If they lose-17→ 1769
Alexandr RomanovNow 1772
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1803 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
62%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.11
Takedown avg.
4.49
50%
Takedown accuracy
28%
79%
Takedown defense
29%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Alex PereiraAlexandr Romanov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (59%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Pereira58%
Alexandr Romanov 42%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 58% favorite over Alexandr Romanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1786 vs 1772), separated by just 14 points.

Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Alexandr Romanov 86%.

Alex Pereira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.