Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Oleg Popov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Pereira
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Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1786Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record23-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach75.5"
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFedorTeam· 1771 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Oleg Popov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PereiraNow 1786
If they win+17→ 1803
If they lose-15→ 1771
Oleg PopovNow 1802
If they win+11→ 1813
If they lose-13→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1803 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
62%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.11
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
79%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.23
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex PereiraOleg Popov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (13%)
2 (15%)
Decision
11 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Pereira55%
Oleg Popov 45%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 55% favorite over Oleg Popov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oleg Popov's way (48%).

Oleg Popov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1786, a 16-point edge.

Oleg Popov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Oleg Popov 52%.

Alex Pereira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.