Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Alexandre Pantoja

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record30-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
Alexandre PantojaNow 1808
If they win+9→ 1817
If they lose-15→ 1793

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
59%
Strike defense
50%
2.21
Takedown avg.
2.80
48%
Takedown accuracy
48%
76%
Takedown defense
69%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Alex PerezAlexandre Pantoja
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
7 (27%)
Submission
12 (40%)
12 (46%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandre Pantoja72%
Alex Perez 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 72% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1707, a 101-point edge.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Alexandre Pantoja 67%.

Alexandre Pantoja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.