Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record24-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
65"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamDAR Pro Team
What's at stake
Asu Almabayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
If they win+9→ 1795
If they lose-15→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezAsu Almabayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Asu Almabayev81%
Alex Perez 19%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Asu Almabayev a 81% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Asu Almabayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1786 to 1707, a 79-point edge.
Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Asu Almabayev 58%.
Alex Perez and Asu Almabayev share 2 common opponents: Charles Johnson and Matheus Nicolau.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.