Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Asu Almabayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Asu Almabayev a 92% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Asu Almabayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1786 to 1707, a 79-point edge.
Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Asu Almabayev 58%.
Alex Perez and Asu Almabayev share 2 common opponents: Charles Johnson and Matheus Nicolau.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.