Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-10-0 Record 24-3-0
Flyweight Division Flyweight
5'6" Height 5'4"
65" Reach 65"
125 lbs Weight 125 lbs
Team Oyama Team DAR Pro Team

What's at stake

Asu Almabayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
Asu AlmabayevNow 1786
If they win+9→ 1795
If they lose-15→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.31
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
1.99
59%
Strike defense
54%
2.21
Takedown avg.
4.46
48%
Takedown accuracy
43%
76%
Takedown defense
44%
0.74
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Alex Perez Asu Almabayev
1700 1750 1800 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
7 (27%)
Submission
11 (46%)
12 (46%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Asu Almabayev92%
Alex Perez8%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Asu Almabayev a 92% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Asu Almabayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1786 to 1707, a 79-point edge.

Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Asu Almabayev 58%.

Alex Perez and Asu Almabayev share 2 common opponents: Charles Johnson and Matheus Nicolau.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

Win TKO · 2026
Charles Johnson
Win Submission · 2026
Win KO/TKO · 2024
Matheus Nicolau
Win Decision (unanimous) · 2024