Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Brandon Royval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Brandon RoyvalNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1729 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
59%
Strike defense
43%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.65
48%
Takedown accuracy
75%
76%
Takedown defense
45%
0.74
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Alex PerezBrandon Royval
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
7 (27%)
Submission
9 (53%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Perez and Brandon Royval within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1697), separated by just 10 points.

Brandon Royval enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Royval 76%.

Alex Perez and Brandon Royval share 3 common opponents: Tatsuro Taira, Matheus Nicolau and Alexandre Pantoja.

Brandon Royval carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Tatsuro Taira
WinDecision (split) · 2024
LossSubmission · 2022
Alexandre Pantoja
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossSubmission · 2021
WinKO/TKO · 2024
Matheus Nicolau
WinKO/TKO · 2023