Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Eric Shelton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record18-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamAmerican Top Team Indianapolis

What's at stake

Alex Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+10→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1693
Eric SheltonNow 1652
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
46%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
59%
Strike defense
64%
2.21
Takedown avg.
2.83
48%
Takedown accuracy
52%
76%
Takedown defense
46%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Alex PerezEric Shelton
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
7 (27%)
Submission
5 (28%)
12 (46%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez70%
Eric Shelton 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 70% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Alex Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1652, a 55-point edge.

Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Eric Shelton 50%.

Alex Perez and Eric Shelton share 1 common opponent: Jordan Espinosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2020
Jordan Espinosa
LossDEC · 2019