Alex Perez vs Jordan Espinosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
65"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA
What's at stake
Alex Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jordan Espinosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-8→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezJordan Espinosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Perez84%
Jordan Espinosa 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 84% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alex Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1572, a 135-point edge.
Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.
Alex Perez and Jordan Espinosa share 1 common opponent: Mark De La Rosa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.