Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Mark De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Alex Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692
Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+20→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
46%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
59%
Strike defense
49%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.54
48%
Takedown accuracy
14%
76%
Takedown defense
40%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Alex PerezMark De La Rosa
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
7 (27%)
Submission
6 (55%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez70%
Mark De La Rosa 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 70% favorite over Mark De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Alex Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1615, a 92-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Mark De La Rosa 64%.

Alex Perez and Mark De La Rosa share 1 common opponent: Jordan Espinosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2020
Jordan Espinosa
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020