Alex Perez vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamKHK MMA Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-20→ 1782
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev92%
Alex Perez 8%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 92% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1707, a 95-point edge.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Alex Perez and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.