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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Steve Erceg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Steve Erceg
au

Steve Erceg

“Astro Boy”

14-5-0FlyweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

26-11-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Oyama· 1646 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamWilkes Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PerezNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
Steve ErcegNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
59%
Strike defense
56%
2.07
Takedown avg.
1.13
21%
Takedown accuracy
28%
74%
Takedown defense
67%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Alex PerezSteve Erceg
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
7 (27%)
Submission
6 (43%)
12 (46%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez61%
Steve Erceg 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 61% favorite over Steve Erceg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1688), separated by just 6 points.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.

Alex Perez and Steve Erceg share 1 common opponent: Alexandre Pantoja.

Steve Erceg carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2022
Alexandre Pantoja
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024