Alex Perez vs Steve Erceg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamWilkes Martial Arts
What's at stake
Alex Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steve Erceg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-13→ 1694
If they win+17→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezSteve Erceg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg59%
Alex Perez 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 59% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Perez's way (47%).
Alex Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1687, a 20-point edge.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.
Alex Perez and Steve Erceg share 1 common opponent: Alexandre Pantoja.
Steve Erceg carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.