Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Tatsuro Taira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
Tatsuro TairaNow 1790
If they win+12→ 1802
If they lose-20→ 1770

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
46%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
59%
Strike defense
47%
2.21
Takedown avg.
3.12
48%
Takedown accuracy
47%
76%
Takedown defense
45%
0.74
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Alex PerezTatsuro Taira
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
7 (27%)
Submission
8 (44%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Tatsuro Taira87%
Alex Perez 13%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 87% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1790 to 1707, a 83-point edge.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.

Tatsuro Taira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.