Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Reyes vs Jean Do Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamHeioxo MMA Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ReyesNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Jean Do SantosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex ReyesJean Do Santos
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Do Santos67%
Alex Reyes 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Do Santos a 67% favorite over Alex Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jean Do Santos 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.