Alex Schoenauer vs Dylan Diebitz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach74.5"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPura Vida BJJ & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex SchoenauerDylan Diebitz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dylan Diebitz63%
Alex Schoenauer 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Diebitz a 63% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Schoenauer's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.
Alex Schoenauer finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Dylan Diebitz 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.