Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Schoenauer vs Jhony Gregory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamDaniel Oliveira Methodology

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SchoenauerNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Jhony GregoryNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
22%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex SchoenauerJhony Gregory
14501500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
7 (54%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jhony Gregory63%
Alex Schoenauer 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jhony Gregory a 63% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1562), separated by just 6 points.

Alex Schoenauer finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jhony Gregory 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.