Alex Schoenauer vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex Schoenauer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1578
If they lose-10→ 1546
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-22→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex SchoenauerMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick73%
Alex Schoenauer 27%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 73% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1556, a 142-point edge.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Schoenauer finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.