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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Schoenauer vs Shane Sobnosky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record10-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFuria MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SchoenauerNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Shane SobnoskyNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
25%
Strike accuracy
Not available
84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
22%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex SchoenauerShane Sobnosky
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
7 (54%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Sobnosky52%
Alex Schoenauer 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Sobnosky a 52% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Schoenauer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1556), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Schoenauer finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Shane Sobnosky 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.