Alex Serdyukov vs Ronald Humphrey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Apex Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Ronald Humphrey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Alex Serdyukov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-15→ 1584
If they win+22→ 1652
If they lose-26→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex SerdyukovRonald Humphrey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronald Humphrey84%
Alex Serdyukov 16%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Humphrey a 84% favorite over Alex Serdyukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ronald Humphrey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1599, a 31-point edge.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alex Serdyukov finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.