Alex Soto vs Mateo Aguero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-1Record1-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamMaximos Combat Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex SotoMateo Aguero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateo Aguero51%
Alex Soto 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateo Aguero a 51% favorite over Alex Soto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Soto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1529), separated by just 2 points.
Alex Soto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.