Alex Steibling vs Mark Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Alex Steibling
Elo1480Average
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record6-2-0
TBDDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
Mark Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Alex Steibling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1509
If they lose-19→ 1461
If they win+19→ 1574
If they lose-29→ 1526
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex SteiblingMark Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Hughes53%
Alex Steibling 47%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hughes a 53% favorite over Alex Steibling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mark Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1480, a 75-point edge.
Mark Hughes 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.