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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Steibling vs Paulo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
TBDTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SteiblingNow 1480
If they win+23→ 1503
If they lose-25→ 1455
Paulo SantosNow 1466
If they win+25→ 1491
If they lose-23→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
7.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.19
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex SteiblingPaulo Santos
145015002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Combat Edge model read

Alex Steibling65%
Paulo Santos 35%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Steibling a 65% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1480 vs 1466), separated by just 14 points.

Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.