Alex White vs Carlton Minus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71,5"Reach75,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team DestructionTeamAvalanche Wrestling Association
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex WhiteCarlton Minus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex White52%
Carlton Minus 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex White a 52% favorite over Carlton Minus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlton Minus's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.
Alex White finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Carlton Minus 79%.
Carlton Minus carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.