Alex White vs Clay Collard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record25-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71,5"Reach73.00"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team DestructionTeamFour7 Training Center
What's at stake
Clay Collard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex White carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1614
If they lose-15→ 1582
If they win+11→ 1639
If they lose-13→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex WhiteClay Collard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clay Collard65%
Alex White 35%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Clay Collard a 65% favorite over Alex White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Clay Collard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1597, a 31-point edge.
Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex White finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Clay Collard 60%.
Clay Collard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.