Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex White vs Lucas Martins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex White
us

Alex White

“The Spartan”

14-6-0LightweightCOH

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record22-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team DestructionTeamCapital da Luta

What's at stake

Lucas Martins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex White carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex WhiteNow 1597
If they win+20→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1585
Lucas MartinsNow 1680
If they win+9→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
42%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
61%
Strike defense
60%
0.92
Takedown avg.
0
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
77%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Alex WhiteLucas Martins
1600165017002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
5 (36%)
Submission
5 (23%)
3 (21%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Martins70%
Alex White 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Martins a 70% favorite over Alex White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Lucas Martins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1597, a 83-point edge.

Alex White finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Martins 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.