Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex White vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex White
us

Alex White

“The Spartan”

14-6-0LightweightCOH

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team DestructionTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex White carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex WhiteNow 1597
If they win+22→ 1619
If they lose-10→ 1587
Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-22→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
42%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
61%
Strike defense
50%
0.92
Takedown avg.
0.83
28%
Takedown accuracy
67%
71%
Takedown defense
90%
0.52
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex WhiteRafael Fiziev
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Fiziev87%
Alex White 13%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 87% favorite over Alex White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1597, a 133-point edge.

Alex White finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.