Alex Zapata vs Andy Waters
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"HeightTBD
-Reach45,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Combat Edge model read
Alex Zapata53%
Andy Waters 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 53% favorite over Andy Waters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1471), separated by just 0 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.