Alex Zapata vs Brandon Shuey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record7-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamTeam Hardcore
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+16→ 1493
If they lose-16→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ZapataBrandon Shuey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Zapata53%
Brandon Shuey 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 53% favorite over Brandon Shuey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Shuey's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1477), separated by just 6 points.
Brandon Shuey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.