Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Zapata vs Edward Montes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Edward Montes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Alex Zapata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ZapataNow 1471
If they win+28→ 1499
If they lose-20→ 1451
Edward MontesNow 1529
If they win+20→ 1549
If they lose-28→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Combat Edge model read

Edward Montes81%
Alex Zapata 19%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Edward Montes a 81% favorite over Alex Zapata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Edward Montes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1471, a 58-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.