Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Zapata vs Humberto Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamAlleycat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ZapataNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Humberto BrownNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Zapata68%
Humberto Brown 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 68% favorite over Humberto Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Humberto Brown's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1478), separated by just 7 points.

Humberto Brown 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.